By now, every NTT INDYCAR SERIES fan probably knows the basic statistics surrounding the Run for the Championship with two races remaining in the season.
A quick review:
- Seven drivers remain mathematically eligible to hoist the Astor Challenge Cup as champion with two races left. (SEE: Driver Standings)
- Championship leader Will Power is ahead of Team Penske teammate Josef Newgarden by just three points with two races remaining.
- Just 17 points separate Power from fourth-place Marcus Ericsson.
- Any driver who trails by 54 points or more after this Sunday’s Grand Prix of Portland (3 p.m. ET, NBC and INDYCAR Radio Network) will be eliminated from title contention before the season-ending Firestone Grand Prix of Monterey on Sunday, Sept. 11. Right now, Scott McLaughlin is sixth, 54 points back, with Pato O’Ward seventh, 58 behind Power.
With the penultimate race of the season taking place this weekend at Portland International Raceway, it’s time to dig deeper into the numbers of this incredible championship race.
- The three points that separate Power and Newgarden is the closest margin with two races remaining since 2008. The 43 points separating the top five drivers in the championship is the tightest title chase since 2003, when 41 points separated the top five. The average deficit with two races to go since 2008 is 24.3 points.
- No point lead is ever safe in the NTT INDYCAR SERIES. Since 2008, a driver has erased a deficit with two races to go and won the series championship five times. Dario Franchitti and Scott Dixon have done it twice. Franchitti trailed Ryan Briscoe by 25 points in 2009 and Will Power by 17 points in 2010; Ryan Hunter-Reay tracked down Power in 2012 after trailing by 36 points with two races remaining, Dixon overcame an eight-point deficit to Helio Castroneves in 2013 and was in third place, 34 points behind Juan Pablo Montoya, in 2015.
- Power took the point lead following the Gallagher Grand Prix at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 30. The lead has changed hands seven times between McLaughlin, Newgarden, Alex Palou, Power and Ericsson.
- This is the fourth time in his illustrious career that Power has led the INDYCAR SERIES standings with two races to go. He won the title in 2014 but was passed for the crown in 2010 and 2012.
- Portland International Raceway is a decent crystal ball for picking an INDYCAR SERIES champion. Eleven winners of the previous 27 INDYCAR SERIES races at the 12-turn, 1.964-mile natural road course have gone on to win the season title the same year. That’s a 41 percent strike rate. The last came last year, when Palou won at Portland en route to his first season title.
- Newgarden holds the championship tiebreaker card if he ends up deadlocked for the points lead at the end of the season. Victories are the first tiebreaker, and Newgarden has five. Dixon, McLaughlin and O’Ward are second in that category with two apiece, with just two races remaining.
Finally, here’s a look at the Run for the Championship with two races to go from 2008-22, for some historical perspective.
YEAR
|
LEADER
|
SECOND
|
LEAD
|
CHAMPION
|
2008
|
Scott Dixon
|
Helio Castroneves
|
43
|
Scott Dixon
|
2009
|
Ryan Briscoe
|
Dario Franchitti
|
25
|
Dario Franchitti
|
2010
|
Will Power
|
Dario Franchitti
|
17
|
Dario Franchitti
|
2011
|
Dario Franchitti
|
Will Power
|
5
|
Dario Franchitti
|
2012
|
Will Power
|
Ryan Hunter-Reay
|
36
|
Ryan Hunter-Reay
|
2013
|
Helio Castroneves
|
Scott Dixon
|
8
|
Scott Dixon
|
2014
|
Will Power
|
Helio Castroneves
|
39
|
Will Power
|
2015
|
Juan Pablo Montoya
|
Graham Rahal
|
9
|
Scott Dixon (-34)
|
2016
|
Simon Pagenaud
|
Will Power
|
20
|
Simon Pagenaud
|
2017
|
Josef Newgarden
|
Scott Dixon
|
31
|
Josef Newgarden
|
2018
|
Scott Dixon
|
Alexander Rossi
|
26
|
Scott Dixon
|
2019
|
Josef Newgarden
|
Simon Pagenaud
|
38
|
Josef Newgarden
|
2020
|
Scott Dixon
|
Josef Newgarden
|
40
|
Scott Dixon
|
2021
|
Alex Palou
|
Pato O’Ward
|
25
|
Alex Palou
|
2022
|
Will Power
|
Josef Newgarden
|
3
|
?
|